Centre for Actuarial Compensation and Valuation of Life (CAVOL)
Dr Şule Şahin, Director
Dr Şahin is a member of the Ogden Working Party (OWP), which carries out the analyses on which the Ogden Tables for determining compensation in cases of personal injury and fatal accident are based.
Professor Alexander J. McNeil, Vice-director
Professor McNeil has provided advice to the expert group that has proposed a compensation framework for the Infected Blood Compensation Authority.
Advisory Board
- Professor John Ward, University of Missouri and John Ward Economics
- Professor Victoria Wass, Cardiff University and OWP
- William Latimer-Sayer KC, Cloisters and OWP
- Richard Cropper, Personal Financial Planning Ltd and OWP
- Dr. William Rogers (Vice-President of the American Academy of Economic and Financial Experts (AAEFE), John Ward Economics)
A number of researchers in the Accounting, Finance and Actuarial Science group and the Social Policy group at the University of York are involved in CAVOL projects.
Projects
CAVOL is partnering with the Ogden Working Party and Professor Victoria Wass (Cardiff) on a research project entitled “A New Estimation of Work Life Expectancy for Use in the Ogden Tables.” The project is funded by over 30 institutions, including the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA).
The project aims to develop a third generation of Reduction Factors (RFs) for the Ogden tables using more recent data and advanced actuarial modelling techniques. By incorporating dynamic models that account for employment transitions, disability, and other key personal factors, the project seeks to improve the accuracy of estimates for future work life expectancy. These updated RFs will provide more precise and personalised estimates to enhance the determination of damages for future loss of earnings in legal contexts.
CAVOL welcomes PhD applications. For more information, please contact Şule Şahin at sule.sahin@york.ac.uk.
Workshops
8-9 June 2026: “What is Life Worth? A Transatlantic Dialogue in Personal Injury and Death” at the School for Business and Society, University of York.
This two-day international workshop, jointly organised by the Centre for Actuarial Compensation and Valuation of Life (CAVOL) and the National Association of Forensic Economics (NAFE), will bring together leading industry experts, legal professionals, and academics to discuss key issues in personal injury and wrongful death compensation.
Topics will include the personal injury discount rate (PIDR), periodical payment orders (PPOs), tariff schemes, the long-term care crisis, and international approaches to compensation. The programme will also feature a dedicated session on “Third Generation Reduction Factors,” presenting the latest findings from the CAVOL–Ogden Working Party collaboration, followed by an open discussion.
Speakers will include representatives from the Government Actuary’s Department, the Ogden Working Party, the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries, NHS Resolution, law firms acting for claimants and defendants, insurance and reinsurance firms, US forensic economists, and academic experts across actuarial science, economics, law, and healthcare.
For more information and booking, please visit the workshop webpage.
10 April 2025: “What is Life Worth? Fairer Compensation for Personal Injury and Death” at the School for Business and Society, University of York.
This one-day workshop will bring together industry experts and academics to discuss two important topics relating to compensation for personal injury and wrongful death: the recently updated personal injury discount rate (PIDR) and periodical payment orders (PPOs). The workshop will feature presentations and panel discussions on these subjects, including representatives from organisations such as the Government Actuary’s Department, the Ogden Working Party, law firms representing claimants and defendants, NHS Resolution, insurance companies and academics from a range of disciplines. For more information and booking, please visit the workshop webpage.
23 March 2023: “What is Life Worth? A Discussion between Actuaries and Lawyers” at the School for Business and Society, University of York.
This workshop brought together industry experts and academics to discuss the state-of-the-art practice for UK personal injury and wrongful death compensation systems. The aim was to identify any problems or sources of conflict between the relevant parties, in terms of their methodologies and applications, and to suggest appropriate measures for resolving these.
Continuous professional development courses
This introduction to the calculations behind the Ogden tables is held periodically and is accessible to non-actuaries. Please enquire if interested.
Funders of Ogden Working Party (OWP) research grant
- Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA)
- Personal Injury Bar Association (PIBA)
- Professional Negligence Bar Association (PNBA)
- Association of Personal Injury Lawyers (APIL)
- Association of British Insurers (ABI)
- The Society of Clinical Negligence Lawyers (SCIL)
- The Forum of Complex Injury Solicitors (FOCIS)
- AccessAble
- Anthony Gold Solicitors
- Bevan Brittan LLP
- Capsticks Solicitors LLP
- Chase de Vere
- Cloisters Chambers
- DAC Beachcroft LLP
- Digby Brown LLP
- Evelyn Partners
- Freeths LLP
- Hill Dickinson
- Irwin Mitchell LLP
- Keoghs LLP
- Leigh Day
- Osbornes
- Paladin Group Ltd
- Personal Financial Planning
- Stewarts Law LLP
- William Chapman
- William Latimer-Sayer