Accessibility statement

Preferences with Adaptive Risk Assessments

Friday 29 October 2021, 1.00PM to 2:00pm

Speaker(s): Kemal Ozbek (Southampton)

Abstract: We model a decision maker who can exert costly effort to adapt her risk assessments, thereby optimizing the value of her risky prospects. We provide an axiomatic characterization of the model, and show how costs of adaption can be elicited and compared across individuals. In a moral hazard problem we show that adaption of risk assessments can weaken the effect of monetary incentives for effort provision, which have important implications for agency problems. We also provide several examples to illustrate how adaption of risk assessments can rationalize many well-known choice anomalies (e.g., the common consequence, certainty, or magnitude effects). These behavioral implications follow from a key feature of the model that adaption decisions can respond to changes in incentives.

Host: Peter Wagner

Location: Zoom - details to follow

Admission: All welcome