Paulo's research interests are in macroeconomic policy, international economics, and labor economics. He is currently working on topics related to macroeconomic stabilization policies, trade and business cycles, automatic stabilizers & social insurance programs.
Full details of publications can be found at Google Scholar
- Testing for Optimal Monetary Policy via Moment Inequalities, with Laura Coroneo and Valentina Corradi. Journal of Applied Econometrics, volume 33, issue 6, pages 780-796, October 2018. Working paper version.
- Trade and Synchronization in a Multi-Country Economy, with Luciana Juvenal. European Economic Review, volume 92, pages 385–415, February 2017.
- Towards a Quantitative Theory of Automatic Stabilizers: the role of demographics, with Alexandre Janiak. Journal of Monetary Economics, volume 78, pages 35–49, April 2016.
- Inflation and Welfare in Long-run Equilibrium With Firm Dynamics, with Alexandre Janiak. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, volume 43, issue 5, pages 795–834, August 2011. Working paper version with additional appendix.