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Towards a complex systems modelling framework for public health policy appraisal

Thursday 9 July 2015, 2.30PM to 3.45pm

Speaker(s): Robin Purshouse, Senior Lecturer, Department of Automatic Control and Systems Engineering, University of Sheffield

Abstract: Achieving societal benefits by changing the behaviour of individuals is a cornerstone for contemporary public health policy, in key areas such as obesity, smoking and alcohol consumption. However, predicting the behavior changes (e.g. change in drinking patterns) that might result from any policy intervention (e.g. minimum pricing) is challenging due to the complexity of the implementation environment. This talk will describe recent work aimed at developing a framework for the use of complex systems methods for public health policy appraisal. The framework combines analysis at the macro and micro level, including both exploratory data-mining methods and explanatory agent-based modelling. The framework is used in an effort to identify the causal and contingent explanations for changes to patterns of alcohol use in Britain over the last 30 years.

Location: ARRC Auditorium A/RC/014

Who to contact

For more information on these seminars, contact:

Adrian Villasenor
Adrian Villasenor-Lopez
Dacheng Huo
Dacheng Huo

If you are not a member of University of York staff and are interested in attending the seminar, please contact Adrian Villasenor-Lopez or Dacheng Huo so that we can ensure we have sufficient space

CHE Seminar Programme

  • Thursday 12 January 2017
    Jon Sussex, Chief Economist, RAND Europe
  • Thursday 9 February 2017
    Richard Murray, Kings Fund